Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 137.9 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
The Cowboys have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 59.3 plays per game.
This year, the porous Falcons run defense has given up a colossal 138.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 10th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 35.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
Ezekiel Elliott has been much less involved in his team's running game this year (32.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (44.0%).
Ezekiel Elliott's 20.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year illustrates a substantial decrease in his running ability over last year's 35.0 rate.

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