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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.
  • While Ezekiel Elliott has accounted for 28.7% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Dallas's running game this week at 44.1%.
  • The 49ers safeties profile as the 31st-worst safety corps in the league this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The model projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.8% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Ezekiel Elliott's 18.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents a remarkable drop-off in his running prowess over last season's 35.0 mark.
  • Ezekiel Elliott's rushing effectiveness (2.87 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (17th percentile among RBs).

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