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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 67.0 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a whopping 61.1 per game on average).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has had the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding 4.72 adjusted yards-per-carry.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Tampa Bay's DE corps has been terrible this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

The model projects the Cowboys as the 6th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 38.2% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

While Ezekiel Elliott has garnered 21.7% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Dallas's running game in this week's contest at 8.4%.

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

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