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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Dallas Cowboys

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to have 134.7 total plays run: the most among all games this week.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Cowboys last year (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).

The Cowboys have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Ezekiel Elliott has received 45.0% of his team's run game usage last year, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to be the 8th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 39.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Ezekiel Elliott's rushing effectiveness (3.25 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football last year (10th percentile when it comes to RBs).

With an atrocious total of 2.54 yards after contact (17th percentile) last year, Ezekiel Elliott has been among the worst running backs in football.

Opposing offenses have run for the 10th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 102.0 per game) against the Cleveland Browns defense last year.

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

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