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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

Ezekiel Elliott Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 63.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has surrendered the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (87.8%) versus running backs this year (87.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ezekiel Elliott's 5.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 15.8.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

Ezekiel Elliott's 1.1 adjusted catches per game this season conveys a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 3.0 rate.

Ezekiel Elliott's 70.2% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a substantial drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 84.3% rate.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's LB corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

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