Ezekiel Elliott Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +121 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys will be rolling with backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cowboys are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
Ezekiel Elliott's 7.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 16.1.
Ezekiel Elliott's receiving talent has worsened this season, notching just 1.0 yards per game vs 2.6 last season.
Ezekiel Elliott's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 75.2% to 71.4%.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (76%) vs. RBs this year (76.0%).

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