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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 62.5% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 66.4 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The Detroit Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (41.2 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ezekiel Elliott has totaled a feeble -5.0 air yards per game this year: just 16th percentile among running backs.

Ezekiel Elliott's 6.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 15.8.

The Dallas Cowboys O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

Ezekiel Elliott has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (8.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).

Ezekiel Elliott's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 84.3% to 71.0%.

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

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