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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Saints

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to see 134.3 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.

The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a colossal 60.2 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

With an exceptional 10.8% Target% (83rd percentile) since the start of last season, Ezekiel Elliott has been among the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a 6-point favorite this week.

Ezekiel Elliott has totaled a paltry -3.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 9th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Saints defense has given up a puny 21.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing RBs: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

Since the start of last season, the tough New Orleans Saints defense has conceded a measly 71.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the smallest rate in football.

The Saints safeties profile as the 10th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

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