Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 17, 2022

Updated Dec 30, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the league.
Ezekiel Elliott's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 72.2% to 80.0%.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Completion% in football (84.6%) to RBs this year (84.6%).
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has afforded their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Ezekiel Elliott has been used less as a potential target this season (42.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (58.6%).
Ezekiel Elliott has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (7.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. RBs this year, surrendering 5.42 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in football.

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