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Evan Hull

Evan Hull Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Evan Hull Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-161/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • The New Orleans offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Titans safeties rank as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Evan Hull rates in just the 19th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a poor 1.0 figure this year.
  • With a measly 0.2 adjusted catches per game (9th percentile) this year, Evan Hull rates as one of the worst RBs in the pass game in the league.

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