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Evan Hull

Evan Hull Carries
Player Prop Week 16

New Orleans Saints vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Evan Hull Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The model projects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 47.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 134.6 total plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).
  • The predictive model expects Evan Hull to be a much bigger part of his team's ground game in this game (29.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (12.3% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

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