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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Evan Engram Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+455/-560).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +460 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +455.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 6th-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (60.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 135.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Denver Broncos offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After averaging 40.0 air yards per game last season, Evan Engram has posted significant losses this season, currently sitting at 17.0 per game.
  • Evan Engram's 25.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 48.4.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in the league against the Houston Texans defense this year (64.9% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Houston Texans linebackers grade out as the 7th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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