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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Evan Engram Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-270).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +245 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +220.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.0% red zone pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos this year (a massive 60.3 per game on average).
  • The Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Broncos as the 9th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • After accumulating 40.0 air yards per game last season, Evan Engram has seen a big decrease this season, now averaging 17.0 per game.
  • Evan Engram's 25.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 48.4.
  • This year, the shaky Cowboys run defense has yielded a monstrous 1.14 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the 10th-biggest rate in the league.

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