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Evan Engram Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

Evan Engram Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+320/-350).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +385 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +320.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (58.0% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Broncos.

The model projects the Broncos to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Broncos this year (a massive 59.6 per game on average).

With an extraordinary 18.8% Red Zone Target% (86th percentile) this year, Evan Engram stands among the tight ends with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 28.4 per game) this year.

After averaging 40.0 air yards per game last year, Evan Engram has undergone a big decline this year, currently sitting at 17.0 per game.

Evan Engram's 23.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 48.4.

More Evan Engram Player Props

Evan Engram TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

Evan Engram Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6