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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

Evan Engram Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-560).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +450 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +400.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 60.0% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 129.0 offensive plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Evan Engram's 21.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 48.4.

Evan Engram's 64.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a meaningful decrease in his receiving skills over last year's 75.7% figure.

Evan Engram has not caught any touchdowns this year.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest level in the league versus the Eagles defense this year (60.3% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the strong Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a meager 0.00 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the best rate in the NFL.

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