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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (62.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 135.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this game, Evan Engram is expected by the projections to finish in the 91st percentile among TEs with 6.6 targets.
  • The Denver Broncos offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Evan Engram's 14.2% Target Share this year reflects a meaningful drop-off in his pass game volume over last year's 25.0% figure.
  • Evan Engram's 3.2 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season's 5.2 figure.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers grade out as the 7th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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