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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+166/-215).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -205 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -215.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 60.0% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 129.0 offensive plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.
  • The leading projections forecast Evan Engram to accumulate 5.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Evan Engram's 11.5% Target% this season conveys a noteworthy decrease in his passing game volume over last season's 25.0% rate.
  • Evan Engram's receiving skills have worsened this year, totaling a mere 1.9 adjusted catches compared to 5.2 last year.
  • Evan Engram's 64.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a meaningful decrease in his receiving skills over last year's 75.7% figure.
  • The Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.4%) to TEs since the start of last season (68.4%).

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