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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the projections to run 66.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Bengals defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect Evan Engram to notch 4.7 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile among TEs.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Broncos being a massive 7.5-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's safety corps has been outstanding since the start of last season, profiling as the 9th-best in football.

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