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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos

Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Denver Broncos.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.12 seconds per snap.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Our trusted projections expect Evan Engram to garner 5.8 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.

The Denver offensive line ranks as the best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

While Evan Engram has accounted for 23.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller part of Denver's passing offense in this week's game at 16.5%.

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