My Account Log Out
 
 
Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+102/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.5% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by our trusted projection set to call 67.3 total plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year.
  • This year, the poor Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded a whopping 77.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 9th-biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a massive 15.5-point favorite this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.1 per game) this year.
  • Evan Engram's 12.9% Target% this season marks a material regression in his pass attack usage over last season's 25.0% mark.
  • Evan Engram's 2.7 adjusted catches per game this season marks a significant reduction in his receiving talent over last season's 5.2 rate.
  • Evan Engram's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 75.7% to 68.9%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™