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Evan Engram Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-103/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (62.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Broncos.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the projection model to call 66.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) generally cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

In this contest, Evan Engram is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.3 targets.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 9-point advantage, the Broncos are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.

Evan Engram's 13.5% Target Rate this year shows a remarkable regression in his passing attack volume over last year's 25.0% figure.

Evan Engram's play as a receiver has diminished this year, averaging a measly 2.6 adjusted catches compared to 5.2 last year.

Evan Engram's 71.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a significant decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 75.7% mark.

The Raiders pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.8%) to TEs this year (71.8%).

More Evan Engram Player Props

Evan Engram ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 10

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Evan Engram Receptions
Player Prop Week 10