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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (62.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 135.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this game, Evan Engram is expected by the projections to finish in the 91st percentile among TEs with 6.6 targets.
  • The Denver Broncos offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Evan Engram's 14.2% Target Share this year reflects a meaningful drop-off in his pass game volume over last year's 25.0% figure.
  • After averaging 40.0 air yards per game last season, Evan Engram has posted significant losses this season, currently sitting at 17.0 per game.
  • Evan Engram's 26.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates a noteworthy decrease in his receiving skills over last year's 40.0 figure.
  • Evan Engram profiles as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the league among tight ends, averaging just 6.37 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 18th percentile.
  • Evan Engram's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a noteworthy diminishment in his effectiveness in space over last season's 3.2% rate.

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