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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Denver Broncos offense has played at the 8th-quickest tempo in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.54 seconds per play.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may decline.

Our trusted projections expect Evan Engram to accrue 4.5 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among tight ends.

When it comes to air yards, Evan Engram grades out in the lofty 87th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 35.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

While Evan Engram has garnered 21.8% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a less important option in Denver's pass game in this game at 13.0%.

Evan Engram's 60.3% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a material regression in his receiving skills over last year's 75.7% figure.

Evan Engram's receiving efficiency has declined this year, totaling a measly 4.69 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.75 rate last year.

With a feeble 2.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (10th percentile) since the start of last season, Evan Engram ranks among the top TE receiving threats in the league in space.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 34.0) to TEs since the start of last season.

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