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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling with backup QB Jarrett Stidham.
  • The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.2% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Evan Engram is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 83rd percentile among tight ends with 4.6 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game against the Patriots defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Evan Engram's 12.8% Target Rate this year illustrates a remarkable decline in his passing offense utilization over last year's 25.0% rate.
  • After totaling 40.0 air yards per game last year, Evan Engram has undergone a big decline this year, currently boasting 19.0 per game.
  • Evan Engram has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this year than he did last year (40.0).
  • Evan Engram's 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 75.7% mark.

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