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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Denver Broncos.
  • The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.12 seconds per snap.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
  • Our trusted projections expect Evan Engram to garner 5.8 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Evan Engram ranks in the towering 90th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 37.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • While Evan Engram has accounted for 23.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller part of Denver's passing offense in this week's game at 16.5%.
  • Evan Engram rates as one of the least effective receivers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging a lowly 5.66 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 6th percentile.
  • With a lackluster 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) since the start of last season, Evan Engram places among the leading pass-game tight ends in football in space.

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