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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to call the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Broncos have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.5 plays per game.
  • The Denver offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The Chiefs pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (85.4%) vs. tight ends this year (85.4%).
  • This year, the anemic Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a whopping 8.28 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The projections expect the Broncos to be the 11th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • Evan Engram's 13.1% Target% this year signifies a material regression in his pass attack utilization over last year's 25.0% figure.
  • Evan Engram has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (19.0 per game) than he did last season (40.0 per game).

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