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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 59.1% of their plays: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are anticipated by the projection model to call 68.3 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 59.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: most in the league.
  • This week, Evan Engram is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.8 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • Evan Engram has been much less involved in his team's pass attack this season (13.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.0%).
  • Evan Engram has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (40.0 per game).
  • Evan Engram's 22.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates a meaningful decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 40.0 figure.
  • Evan Engram's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 75.7% to 66.9%.

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