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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 66.2 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a monstrous 59.5 per game on average).
  • Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Evan Engram has been a less important option in his team's air attack this year (14.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (25.0%).
  • Evan Engram has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (19.0 per game) than he did last season (40.0 per game).
  • Evan Engram's 25.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season shows a noteable reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 40.0 rate.
  • Evan Engram's 69.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a substantial decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 75.7% mark.
  • Evan Engram ranks as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging a measly 5.75 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 6th percentile.

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