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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the league (63.3% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to run the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • In this week's game, Evan Engram is expected by the projections to position himself in the 81st percentile among TEs with 5.4 targets.
  • The Broncos O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are an enormous 8-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • Evan Engram has been a less important option in his team's passing attack this season (14.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (25.0%).
  • Evan Engram has accrued far fewer air yards this season (21.0 per game) than he did last season (40.0 per game).
  • Evan Engram has compiled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (27.0) this year than he did last year (40.0).

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