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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Broncos.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this week's game, Evan Engram is predicted by the predictive model to land in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.0 targets.
  • The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • This year, the shaky Commanders pass defense has yielded a whopping 80.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 2nd-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.
  • Evan Engram's 14.1% Target Rate this season conveys a noteable diminishment in his air attack volume over last season's 25.0% figure.
  • After averaging 40.0 air yards per game last year, Evan Engram has seen a big decline this year, currently pacing 19.0 per game.
  • Evan Engram's 23.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents an impressive decrease in his receiving ability over last season's 40.0 rate.
  • Evan Engram's 68.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching skills over last year's 75.7% mark.

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