Evan Engram Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 11, 2025

Updated Nov 16, 2025 9:17 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -4-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.
The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
In this week's game, Evan Engram is expected by the model to finish in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.8 targets.
The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
Evan Engram has been a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack this season (14.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.0%).
After accumulating 40.0 air yards per game last year, Evan Engram has been a disappointment this year, currently boasting 20.0 per game.
Evan Engram has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (22.0) this season than he did last season (40.0).
Evan Engram's 67.3% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies an impressive reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 75.7% figure.

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