Evan Engram Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 10, 2025

Updated Nov 7, 2025 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (62.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Broncos.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the projection model to call 66.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) generally cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
In this contest, Evan Engram is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.3 targets.
As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

With a 9-point advantage, the Broncos are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.
Evan Engram's 13.5% Target Rate this year shows a remarkable regression in his passing attack volume over last year's 25.0% figure.
Evan Engram has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (40.0 per game).
Evan Engram has put up significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (21.0) this year than he did last year (40.0).
Evan Engram's 71.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a significant decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 75.7% mark.

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