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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (62.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Broncos.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the projection model to call 66.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) generally cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • In this contest, Evan Engram is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.3 targets.
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 9-point advantage, the Broncos are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.
  • Evan Engram's 13.5% Target Rate this year shows a remarkable regression in his passing attack volume over last year's 25.0% figure.
  • Evan Engram has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (40.0 per game).
  • Evan Engram has put up significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (21.0) this year than he did last year (40.0).
  • Evan Engram's 71.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a significant decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 75.7% mark.

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