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Eric Saubert

Eric Saubert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Eric Saubert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1900/-8500).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, the Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed opposing squads to play 8th-quickest in the league (in a neutral context) this year at 27.87 seconds per play.

Since the start of last season, the porous Buccaneers pass defense has given up a colossal 80.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 4th-highest rate in the NFL.

The Buccaneers defense has yielded the 6th-most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to tight ends: 0.50 per game this year.

As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Tampa Bay's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Seahawks to be the 3rd-most run-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 49.7% red zone run rate.

The leading projections forecast Eric Saubert to be a much smaller part of his offense's air attack near the end zone in this week's contest (2.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (8.3% in games he has played).

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