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Eric Saubert

Eric Saubert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Eric Saubert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2100/-8250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -8250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • This year, the formidable Rams run defense has surrendered a mere 0.36 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the smallest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 51.0% red zone run rate.
  • The 6th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (just 53.3 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • When it comes to air yards, Eric Saubert grades out in the paltry 11th percentile among tight ends this year, totaling just 1.0 per game.
  • Eric Saubert slots into just the 18th percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a subpar 1.9 figure this year.

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