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Eric Saubert

Eric Saubert Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Eric Saubert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-323).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -263 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -323.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 131.0 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Eric Saubert's 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteable improvement in his receiving proficiency over last season's 78.5% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 56.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 49.2 per game on average).
  • Eric Saubert's 3.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks among the worst in football: 22nd percentile for tight ends.
  • With a paltry 0.8 adjusted receptions per game (19th percentile) this year, Eric Saubert ranks among the weakest pass-catching tight ends in the NFL.
  • This year, the imposing Rams defense has conceded a mere 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 9th-best rate in the NFL.

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