Equanimeous St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-145).
Key Factors
Favors Over
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football.
Favors Under
The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Bears offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.39 seconds per snap.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 34.8 per game) this year.
In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.3%) to wide receivers this year (60.3%).