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Equanimeous St. Brown

Equanimeous St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Equanimeous St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

The Lions safeties rank as the 4th-worst group of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have just 123.9 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.

Equanimeous St. Brown's 8.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 29.0.

The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Equanimeous St. Brown profiles as one of the weakest WRs in the league this year, averaging a mere 1.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 20th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

More Equanimeous St. Brown Player Props

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