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Equanimeous St. Brown
NFL · Player Props
Equanimeous St. Brown
WR · Chicago Bears
Receptions
Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023 Updated Dec 8, 2023 1:11 PM UTC
NFL Props Equanimeous St. Brown Receptions

Equanimeous St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +185.

Favors Over
  • The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Lions safeties rank as the 4th-worst group of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
Favors Under
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have just 123.9 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • Equanimeous St. Brown's 8.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 29.0.
  • The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Equanimeous St. Brown profiles as one of the weakest WRs in the league this year, averaging a mere 1.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 20th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
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