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Equanimeous St. Brown

Equanimeous St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Equanimeous St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Bears offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.39 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 34.8 per game) this year.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year.
  • The Falcons defense has yielded the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 120.0) vs. WRs this year.

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