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Eno Benjamin

Eno Benjamin Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Eno Benjamin Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+171/-245).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -236 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -245.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 68.7 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Eno Benjamin to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line this week (56.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (33.9% in games he has played).
  • The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 6th-best LB corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have incorporated some form of misdirection on a lowly 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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