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Emeka Egbuka

Emeka Egbuka Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Emeka Egbuka Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-194).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -205 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -194.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (58.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a mere 55.4 per game on average).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The New York defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 59.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Since the start of last season, the imposing Jets defense has allowed a feeble 0.79 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-best rate in the league.

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