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Emari Demercado

Emari Demercado Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Emari Demercado Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+460/-670).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -670 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -670.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals rank as the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 64.7% pass rate.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

The Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.8 per game) since the start of last season.

Emari Demercado has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 9.1% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 79th percentile among running backs.

As it relates to air yards, Emari Demercado grades out in the towering 87th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accruing a remarkable 2.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Arizona Cardinals.

The projections expect Emari Demercado to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game near the end zone in this contest (21.8% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.0% in games he has played).

Since the start of last season, Emari Demercado has not caught any TDs through the air since the start of last season.

The Seattle Seahawks defense has given up the 9th-fewest touchdowns through the air in the league to running backs: 0.10 per game since the start of last season.

More Emari Demercado Player Props

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