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Emari Demercado

Emari Demercado Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

Emari Demercado Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Cardinals, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.

While Emari Demercado has garnered 6.1% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Arizona's running game in this game at 21.6%.

Emari Demercado's running efficiency (6.85 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (98th percentile when it comes to RBs).

This year, the deficient Titans run defense has given up a monstrous 152.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-worst in football.

The Titans safeties profile as the 31st-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 9th-least run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 37.4% run rate.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

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