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Emari Demercado

Emari Demercado Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Emari Demercado Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-109/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per snap.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Emari Demercado has been a much bigger part of his offense's ground game this year (16.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (5.3%).
  • Emari Demercado has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (14.0).
  • Emari Demercado's running efficiency (6.97 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (98th percentile among RBs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to run on 37.6% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

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