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Emari Demercado

Emari Demercado Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Emari Demercado Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 135.3 total plays called: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Cardinals this year (a massive 61.3 per game on average).
  • Emari Demercado has been a much bigger part of his offense's ground game this season (16.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (5.3%).
  • Emari Demercado has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (14.0).
  • Emari Demercado's rushing efficiency (7.31 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (98th percentile among RBs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to run on 37.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced run volume.

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