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Emari Demercado

Emari Demercado Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Emari Demercado Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cardinals are projected by the model to call 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Cardinals have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
  • While Emari Demercado has accounted for 15.1% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Arizona's rushing attack in this week's contest at 35.2%.
  • Emari Demercado's 39.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies an impressive boost in his rushing skills over last season's 14.0 rate.
  • With an excellent total of 8.89 adjusted yards per carry (100th percentile), Emari Demercado has been as one of the top RBs in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals may pass less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett.
  • This week's line implies a passing game script for the Cardinals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to run on 37.9% of their plays: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

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