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Emari Demercado

Emari Demercado Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

Emari Demercado Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Cardinals offensive strategy to skew 2.4% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Jonathan Gannon now calling the plays.

Right now, the 8th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (41.1% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Arizona Cardinals.

The Los Angeles Rams defense has had the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, surrendering 4.50 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the projection model to run only 64.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

While Emari Demercado has accounted for 22.9% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Arizona's run game in this contest at 6.5%.

The Arizona O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in football last year at executing run-blocking assingments.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's unit has been terrific this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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