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Emari Demercado

Emari Demercado Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Emari Demercado Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+118/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -154.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals may pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett.
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 62.1% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 129.9 total plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • The Indianapolis Colts linebackers grade out as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Emari Demercado's 3.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 8.5.
  • With a puny 0.5 adjusted receptions per game (23rd percentile) this year, Emari Demercado rates as one of the worst running backs in the pass game in the NFL.
  • This year, the tough Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded a feeble 71.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 4th-lowest rate in football.

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