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Emari Demercado

Emari Demercado Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Emari Demercado Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals are a heavy 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 65.1% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 132.6 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a colossal 60.2 per game on average).
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may decline.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
  • Emari Demercado's 72.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a noteworthy reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 86.7% rate.
  • This year, the imposing Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded a puny 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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