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Emari Demercado

Emari Demercado Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Emari Demercado Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per snap.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (86.2%) to running backs this year (86.2%).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year.
  • Emari Demercado's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 86.7% to 72.8%.

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