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Emari Demercado

Emari Demercado Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Emari Demercado Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to have 131.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.2 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Emari Demercado's 3.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the worst in the NFL: 25th percentile for RBs.
  • The Arizona offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Emari Demercado grades out as one of the weakest pass-game RBs this year, averaging a mere 0.5 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 18th percentile among running backs.
  • Emari Demercado's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 86.5% to 59.4%.
  • This year, the tough Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed a puny 77.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 8th-lowest rate in football.

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